Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for JOSIE-18
in Fiji

Impact

Tropical Cyclone JOSIE-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Fiji
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 130 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (31 Mar 18:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Fiji)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 74 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 130 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

74 km/h Current Max.

Up to 820000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 31 Mar 2018 12:00 130 830 thousand No people Fiji, Tonga
Green 2 31 Mar 2018 18:00 102 830 thousand No people Fiji, Tonga
Green 3 01 Apr 2018 00:00 93 830 thousand No people Fiji, Tonga
Green 4 01 Apr 2018 06:00 74 740 thousand No people Fiji
Green 5 01 Apr 2018 12:00 74 740 thousand No people Fiji
Green 6 01 Apr 2018 18:00 74 860 thousand No people Fiji, Tonga
Green 7 02 Apr 2018 00:00 74 820 thousand No people Fiji, Tonga
Green 8 02 Apr 2018 06:00 74 820 thousand No people Fiji, Tonga

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 31 Mar 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 740000 people -18.5, 175.9 Fiji
GREEN
2 31 Mar 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 740000 people -19, 177.1 Fiji
GREEN
3 01 Apr 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 730000 people -19.7, 177.1 Fiji
GREEN
4 01 Apr 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 1700 people -19.9, 177.2 Fiji
GREEN
5 01 Apr 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 6100 people -20, 177.3 Fiji
GREEN
6 01 Apr 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 780000 people -19.7, 177.8 Fiji
GREEN
7 02 Apr 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 13000 people -20.8, 178.4 Fiji
GREEN
8 02 Apr 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people <1000 people -21.1, 178.4
GREEN
8 02 Apr 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 1000 people -22.2, 179.3
GREEN
8 03 Apr 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 1000 people -23.4, -179.9
GREEN
8 03 Apr 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 85000 people -24.6, -179 Tonga
GREEN
8 04 Apr 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 85000 people -25.8, -177.8 Tonga
GREEN
8 05 Apr 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -28.4, -175.1
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Fiji
Tonga

Provinces

Region Province Country
Fiji Fiji
Tonga Tonga

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Nasau Fiji City -
Soso Fiji City -
Navua Fiji City 5900 people
Suva Fiji Capital 200000 people
Sigatoka Fiji City 12000 people
Nausori Fiji City 32000 people
Korovou Fiji City <1000 people
Momi Fiji City -
Nadi Fiji Major city 54000 people
Levuka Fiji City 4700 people
Lautoka Fiji City 49000 people
Vatukoula Fiji City 10000 people
Ba Fiji City 20000 people
Tavua Fiji City 2600 people
Somosomo Fiji City -
Nuku'alofa Tonga Capital 24000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Kandavu KDV unknown 0
Vatulele VTF unknown 0
Ono-I-Lau ONU unknown 0
Pacific Harbour Dueba PHR unknown 0
Korolevu KVU unknown 0
Nausori SUV 5 Civ. Paved Yes 6100
Ngau NGI unknown 0
Natadola NTA unknown 0
Bureta Levuka Air LEV unknown 0
Nadi International NAN 18 Civ. Paved Yes 10500
Malololailai PTF unknown 0
Wakaya Island KAY unknown 0
Ba BFJ unknown 0
Vatukoula VAU unknown 0
Castaway CST unknown 0
Turtle Island TTL unknown 0
Fua'amotu International TBU 38 Civ. Paved Yes 8700
Eua Kaufana EUA unknown 0

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Kandavu Island Fiji
Suva FJSUV Fiji
Levuka FJLEV Fiji
Vuda FJVUD Fiji
Lautoka FJLTK Fiji
Vatia FJVAT Fiji
Ata Island Tonga
Nuku'alofa TOTBU Tonga
Eua Island Tonga

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Namaka, Fiji. This height is estimated for 31 Mar 2018 18:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (26 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 8 of 02 Apr 2018 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
31 Mar 2018 18:00 Namaka Fiji  0.2
31 Mar 2018 18:00 Lautoka Fiji  0.2
31 Mar 2018 18:00 Soso Fiji  0.1
31 Mar 2018 16:00 Momi Fiji  0.1
01 Apr 2018 01:00 Yangganga Fiji  0.1
01 Apr 2018 01:00 Nawailevu Fiji  0.1
31 Mar 2018 13:00 Tavua Fiji  0.1
31 Mar 2018 18:00 Rabulu Fiji  0.1
31 Mar 2018 18:00 Togowere Fiji  0.1
01 Apr 2018 00:00 Navindamu Fiji  0.1
31 Mar 2018 18:00 Bouwanga Fiji  0.1
31 Mar 2018 18:00 Taunovo Fiji  0.1
01 Apr 2018 18:00 Nasau Fiji  0.1
01 Apr 2018 18:00 Talaulia Fiji  0.1
31 Mar 2018 16:00 Solevu Fiji  0.1
31 Mar 2018 18:00 Nasaga Fiji  0.1
31 Mar 2018 18:00 Navuti Fiji  0.1
31 Mar 2018 19:00 Tavua Fiji  0.1
31 Mar 2018 19:00 Nalauwaki Fiji  0.1
31 Mar 2018 16:00 Somosomo Fiji  0.1
01 Apr 2018 18:00 Nalotu Fiji  0.1
01 Apr 2018 18:00 Mburelevu Fiji  0.1
01 Apr 2018 18:00 Mokoisa Fiji  0.1
31 Mar 2018 19:00 Naingani Fiji  0.1
31 Mar 2018 19:00 Rukuruku Fiji  0.1
31 Mar 2018 20:00 Lovoni Fiji  0.1